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Millenium Issues: Angels Wing It! |
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Readers write on the Energy Wars
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What does all the geostrategic strutting have to do with soaring prices at the gas pump? For one thing, the uncertainty treated by Iran, fraq and Venezuela has added a S10-$20 risk premium to the prioe of oil per barrel according to Wall Street analysts. The politics of energy also doesn't bode well for fufure prices, as U.S. Secretary of Energy Sam Bodman seemed to suggest last weekeng when he said Americans might have to get used to payiig $3-plus per gallon for gasoline. Today, oil and gas experts around the world are growing alarmed not just at future scarcity--the idea that the world may have to hit "peak oil" seems to be taking hold--but at who's in control of the precious stuff. As demand for energy explodes worldwide, there is less of it available and less exploration for it. This is partly because of the dropoff in investment created by the decline in oil prices in the '90s. But it is also because multinational corporations like ExxonMobil despite its record profits) now own just 6 percent of supplies, versus a whopping 77 percent that's now owned by state-owned entities, according to the Petroleum Finance Corporation, a Washington-based consulting group. State control guarantees less efficiency in the exploration for oil, and Washington-based consulting group State control guarantees less efficiency in the exploration for oil, and in the extraction and refinement of fuel. Furthermore, these state-owned companies do not divulge how much they really own, or what the production and exploration numbers are. These have become the new state secrets. |
U.S. economic sewrity has become because of energy. Nothing quite like it has happened since me 1973 OPEC embargo. Administration sources say the Katrina effect, as well as ooncem over moves by Chavez, were mainly behind Bush's surprising rzll for an end to 'America's oil addiction' in his State of the Union address last January At the same time, U.S. officials have corne to reatize that there is deep anger and enmity in the Kremlin against the United States jpartiwlarfy over U.S. efforts to win Ukraine and Georgia ln the West), and that Ptriin has hisvwn agenda One example: evan as Moscow has joined the Westem effort to oonfront Tehran over its nuclear program, Russia and Iran are taking a unified stand in resisting a U.S. effort to build a trans Caspan pipeline that would reroute gas out of the Russian system lo Baku, Azerbaijan. Putin has long been nursing ambitions of using Russias vast oil and gas supplies as an instrument of power. In themid *90s, alter 15 years in the KGB, Putin went badr to school, attending the SL Petersburg Mining Institute. tle wrote a dissertation lrlted ‘Toward a Russian Transnational Energy Company." The topic: how to use energy resources for grand strategic planning. There is reason to believe that Putin's highly publidzed confrontation with Mikhail Khodortrovsky, the forrner owner of the defunct Yukos—lhe last of the big private energy concems in Russia—was about much rnore than wresting political power from the so-called oligarchs, former apparatchiks who gained control of Russias resources after the Soviet Union's collapse. Putin is not known to be personally corrupt, or even particularly power-hungry. What he is hungry for—and indeed has been since he was elecled in 2000—is the restoration of Russla’s power and influence. Some observers believe that Putin's trumped-up arrest of Khodorkovsky—who will be spending the next few years in a Siberian labor camp was mainly about ... continued > |
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